Athletic Club Morelos vs América Premier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
PUE
2 - 3
ATM
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
ATM
2 - 1
IPC
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TIA
1 - 0
ATM
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
ATM
1 - 1
VER
45%
25%
31%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
ATM
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
América Premier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
AME
4 - 0
JAS
51%
24%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
AME
2 - 0
PUE
65%
19%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
IPC
2 - 0
AME
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2017 |
AME
2 - 1
TIA
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
VER
5 - 1
AME
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -2 |