Athletic Fregenal vs UD Fornacense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
50.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+110%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
CDB
16%
18%
66%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BIE
4 - 0
ATH
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
ATH
70%
16%
14%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 2
ACE
27%
23%
50%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
ATH
82%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
UD Fornacense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
9 - 1
OLV
47%
20%
33%
|
7 | 6 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
UDF
1 - 2
CDB
18%
20%
62%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BIE
2 - 0
UDF
86%
10%
4%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 0
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | -1 |