Athletic Fregenal vs Hernando De Soto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
49.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 0
UDF
28%
22%
51%
|
6 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
CDB
16%
18%
66%
|
6 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BIE
4 - 0
ATH
85%
10%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
3 - 2
ATH
70%
16%
14%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 2
ACE
27%
23%
50%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hernando De Soto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
HER
6 - 1
OLV
62%
18%
19%
|
10 | 5 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
UDF
62%
19%
19%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
CDB
1 - 1
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
HER
1 - 2
BIE
35%
23%
42%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
HER
3 - 1
MON
42%
22%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |