Athletic Fregenal vs Emérita Augusta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
64.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 1
ATH
37%
23%
41%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 0
CAT
15%
17%
69%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ACE
2 - 1
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 2
SPR
16%
17%
67%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
HER
3 - 0
ATH
63%
19%
18%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Emérita Augusta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EME
2 - 0
HER
61%
19%
20%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
UDF
2 - 3
EME
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
EME
5 - 0
CDA
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
1 - 3
EME
13%
17%
70%
|
12 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
EME
3 - 3
BAR
45%
22%
33%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |