Athletic Fregenal vs EMD Aceuchal B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
50.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-66%
+200%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Fregenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
EME
0 - 1
ATH
82%
11%
7%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 1
BEL
19%
21%
60%
|
8 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
CAT
1 - 0
ATH
86%
10%
5%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ATH
4 - 1
OLV
38%
22%
40%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
HER
2 - 1
ATH
78%
14%
8%
|
6 | 15 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
EMD Aceuchal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2024 |
ACE
1 - 0
EME
49%
23%
28%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
ACE
4 - 0
HER
28%
23%
50%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDF
0 - 1
ACE
58%
21%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ACE
0 - 1
CDB
28%
23%
49%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
ACE
0 - 2
BIE
19%
22%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |