Athletic Club vs Villa Nova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATH
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
4 - 0
URT
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
DEM
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
ATM
1 - 0
ATH
96%
3%
1%
|
49 | 90 | 41 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
PAT
61%
22%
18%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
PAT
70%
18%
12%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
AMF
0 - 1
VIL
82%
14%
4%
|
47 | 82 | 35 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 2
VIL
82%
13%
4%
|
47 | 74 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
CAL
39%
25%
36%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
URT
53%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |