Athletic Club vs Itabirito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
11.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
VOL
23%
21%
57%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
2 - 1
ATH
15%
20%
65%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
4 - 1
POA
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 4
ATH
24%
23%
54%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
ATH
0 - 2
ATM
13%
23%
65%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Itabirito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
2 - 2
PAT
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 2
ATM
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 89 | 47 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
UBE
1 - 2
IFC
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
POA
2 - 0
IFC
55%
23%
22%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
IFC
0 - 0
AMF
5%
13%
82%
|
40 | 86 | 46 | +1 |