Série D Brazil Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Athletic Club vs Ferroviária analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
27.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
ATH
41%
29%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ATH
0 - 1
BAH
54%
27%
19%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BAH
0 - 2
ATH
37%
29%
34%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ATH
2 - 0
CAM
48%
28%
24%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
1 - 0
ATH
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ferroviária
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
ATH
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 1
FER
28%
29%
43%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
SOU
59%
25%
16%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ANA
0 - 1
FER
35%
31%
34%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
FER
1 - 0
ANA
41%
28%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |