Athletic Club vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PAT
1 - 0
ATH
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ATH
1 - 1
AMF
11%
21%
68%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DEM
1 - 1
ATH
30%
24%
47%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CRZ
1 - 1
ATH
84%
12%
5%
|
53 | 78 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATH
3 - 1
TOM
19%
23%
58%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 1
VIL
28%
28%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
CAL
0 - 1
IFC
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TOM
3 - 0
CAL
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
CAL
2 - 2
DEM
24%
26%
50%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
CAL
88%
10%
3%
|
43 | 90 | 47 | 0 |