Mineiro 1 Trofeo del Interior Final
Global 1-1
Athletic Club vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATH
27%
24%
49%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 2
CRZ
10%
17%
73%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CRZ
2 - 0
ATH
72%
17%
11%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATH
1 - 0
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATH
32%
24%
44%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
1 - 1
ATH
27%
24%
49%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 2
ATM
7%
18%
75%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
ATM
3 - 0
CAL
90%
8%
2%
|
48 | 90 | 42 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
CAL
0 - 1
ATH
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |