Athletic U19 vs Valvanera CD Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.5%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.6%
4-0
10.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.9%
3.6%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
1º
1º
5
16º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 70 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 57 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 56 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 52 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 43 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 39 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 13 |
15º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 10 |
16º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
98% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
2% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ATH
5 - 1
DAN
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 0
ATH
12%
18%
70%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 3
ATH
22%
22%
57%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
DAN
76%
15%
10%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
SJU
0 - 1
ATH
13%
19%
68%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valvanera CD Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 1
ANT
20%
23%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
CDA
1 - 1
VAL
72%
17%
11%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
VAL
1 - 3
VAS
14%
20%
66%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
DAN
2 - 0
VAL
80%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
VAL
0 - 3
SJU
21%
23%
56%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |