Athletic U19 vs Gazte Berriak U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.43
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.5%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.3%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.2%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
4º
1º
31
8º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
94% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TOL
1 - 3
ATH
5%
10%
85%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
2 - 2
VAS
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 2
ATH
6%
14%
80%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
3 - 0
DAN
88%
9%
4%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ATH
4 - 0
CDT
91%
6%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Gazte Berriak U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CFG
0 - 1
ARE
76%
14%
9%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OSA
0 - 2
CFG
79%
13%
8%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CFG
4 - 2
SAN
42%
23%
35%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
EIB
3 - 2
CFG
76%
15%
10%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CFG
4 - 3
BER
17%
20%
63%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |