Athletic U19 vs CD Aurrerá Vitoria Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.4%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10%
4.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+123%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
1º
1º
29
3º
15º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
47 | 70 |
1º
|
98% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 57 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 56 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 53 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 52 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 48 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 43 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
29 | 43 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 41 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 39 |
11º
|
24.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 29 |
13º
|
38% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 29 |
14º
|
53% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 13 |
15º
|
59.5% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 10 |
16º
|
61% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
98% | 0% |
|
Copa del Rey U18
|
2% | 1.5% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 93% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
RCD
1 - 1
ATH
49%
23%
28%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
FCB
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 0
OSA
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 4
ALA
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
ATH
1 - 1
VAD
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Aurrerá Vitoria Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
CDG
2 - 3
CDA
26%
24%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDA
5 - 1
BEA
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 3
CDA
58%
21%
21%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CDA
2 - 1
REA
34%
24%
43%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
EIB
0 - 1
CDA
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |