Copa Chile 1/64
Global 1-1
Colina vs Municipal Mejillones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEJ
0 - 1
ACC
15%
21%
64%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ACC
1 - 2
CHG
64%
20%
16%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
IBE
0 - 2
ACC
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ACC
3 - 1
MPA
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CDS
2 - 0
ACC
37%
25%
38%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Municipal Mejillones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MEJ
0 - 1
ACC
15%
21%
64%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MEJ
1 - 1
MPA
60%
19%
21%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DUC
0 - 1
MEJ
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 42 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CHI
1 - 0
MEJ
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 1
MEJ
58%
20%
23%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |