Colina vs Fernández Vial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
3 - 2
ACC
52%
25%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
ACC
2 - 4
LAU
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
DLI
0 - 1
ACC
40%
28%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
ACC
1 - 2
CHG
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
GVE
1 - 1
ACC
47%
26%
26%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fernández Vial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DLI
1 - 5
FVC
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
FVC
0 - 2
CHG
36%
27%
37%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 1
FVC
45%
27%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
FVC
1 - 3
GVE
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CON
0 - 2
FVC
41%
27%
32%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |