Colina vs Recoleta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
57.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LIM
3 - 1
ACC
73%
18%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VAL
3 - 0
ACC
65%
20%
15%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ACC
0 - 2
LAU
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
DER
3 - 2
ACC
70%
19%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
ACC
2 - 3
IBE
30%
25%
45%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Recoleta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
DER
2 - 3
GVE
64%
20%
15%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
LAU
0 - 0
DER
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
DER
3 - 2
CAU
50%
24%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
DER
3 - 2
ACC
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
DER
2 - 1
CHG
69%
19%
12%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |