Colina vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
GVE
3 - 2
ACC
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
ACC
1 - 0
SAU
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
CAU
2 - 0
ACC
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
ACC
1 - 2
DER
21%
22%
57%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
LIM
3 - 1
ACC
73%
18%
10%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
DER
21%
25%
54%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 1
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
CON
3 - 1
CHG
41%
27%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
LAU
3 - 0
CON
57%
22%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CON
1 - 1
SAU
35%
27%
38%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |