Copa Chile 1/16
Global 1-7
Colina vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
61.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Colina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
ACC
0 - 2
LIM
51%
23%
26%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
ACC
1 - 0
SAN
37%
23%
40%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ACC
1 - 0
VAL
44%
23%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
ACC
2 - 1
DLI
57%
22%
22%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2021 |
FVC
1 - 1
ACC
67%
20%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
COL
2 - 0
DLS
50%
26%
24%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
DLS
5 - 1
CDM
46%
28%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
CSL
2 - 0
DLS
51%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
DLS
1 - 0
NUB
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
EVE
0 - 4
DLS
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |