Athletic U19 B vs Indautxu Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.3%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+339%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
1º
6º
1º
26
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
42 | 74 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 62 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 61 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 60 |
5º
|
17.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 57 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 51 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
|
11º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 49 |
9º
|
18.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 48 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 45 |
11º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 38 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 35 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
17º
|
16 | 31 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 25 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 25 |
18º
|
50% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
92.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
7.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 2
DAN
84%
10%
5%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 3
ATH
8%
15%
77%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
ATH
2 - 1
ANT
64%
18%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BCF
0 - 2
ATH
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
ATH
3 - 2
EIB
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Indautxu Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
IND
32%
23%
46%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
BCF
50%
22%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
HER
2 - 1
IND
51%
22%
27%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
IND
1 - 1
CDB
26%
21%
53%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
DUR
0 - 1
IND
32%
22%
46%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |