Athletic vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
ATH
3 - 0
AUS
61%
23%
17%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
XER
0 - 1
ATH
36%
26%
38%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 1
ATH
31%
28%
41%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
90%
8%
3%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
LSO
74%
18%
8%
|
90 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
MLL
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
OSA
1 - 1
VIL
31%
26%
43%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2009 |
VIL
6 - 1
NAC
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2009 |
NAC
1 - 3
VIL
23%
25%
52%
|
90 | 76 | 14 | 0 |