Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Athletic vs Vigo Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
3.53
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
4.9%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
6.2%
5-0
8.3%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
11%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
16.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
6.4%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
6.4%
2.2%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1920 |
ATH
4 - 1
RMA
63%
19%
18%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATH
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1916 |
ATH
4 - 0
RMA
58%
20%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 May. 1915 |
ATH
5 - 0
ESP
65%
18%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1915 |
ATH
5 - 1
FDV
92%
6%
2%
|
83 | 12 | 71 | 0 |
Matches
Vigo Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1920 |
RVS
4 - 1
SPO
14%
20%
66%
|
26 | 71 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1920 |
SPO
0 - 0
RVS
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | +1 |
| 11 May. 1919 |
ARE
6 - 1
RVS
90%
7%
3%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | -1 |
| 04 May. 1919 |
RVS
0 - 2
ARE
20%
23%
57%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 1919 |
RVS
3 - 0
SPO
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 71 | 46 | +2 |