Athletic vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.2%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.4%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.4%
7.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 3
ATH
28%
22%
50%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
ATH
1 - 3
RSO
83%
10%
7%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
ATM
2 - 5
ATH
58%
19%
23%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
ATH
2 - 1
FCB
53%
20%
27%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
SEV
3 - 1
ATH
57%
20%
23%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
VAD
2 - 1
OSA
78%
14%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
RMA
1 - 2
VAD
81%
12%
8%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1953 |
VAD
3 - 2
VCF
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 1953 |
CEL
2 - 1
VAD
55%
21%
23%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1953 |
VAD
4 - 1
SPO
56%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |