Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-4
Athletic vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.9%
Win probability
3.35
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATH
47%
22%
31%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ATH
3 - 2
VAD
82%
11%
8%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
CEL
4 - 2
ATH
43%
23%
34%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
ATH
3 - 1
SPO
81%
11%
8%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATH
39%
23%
37%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
VAD
1 - 0
ATH
47%
22%
31%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ATH
3 - 2
VAD
82%
11%
8%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
VAD
3 - 2
OVI
65%
19%
16%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
RAC
1 - 3
VAD
60%
20%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATH
39%
23%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |