Athletic vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.9%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.1%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
8.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
SEV
2 - 0
ATH
60%
19%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
ATH
2 - 1
SEV
72%
15%
13%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
FCB
3 - 0
ATH
63%
18%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
ATH
3 - 0
RMA
70%
16%
14%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1948 |
GIM
7 - 1
ATH
38%
23%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1948 |
VAD
0 - 1
VCF
37%
23%
40%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1948 |
VCF
6 - 0
VAD
83%
10%
7%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 1948 |
VAD
4 - 1
GRA
58%
20%
23%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
VAD
5 - 0
ANT
88%
8%
4%
|
65 | 37 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
VAD
2 - 1
DEP
53%
22%
26%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |