Athletic vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
ESP
3 - 1
ATH
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
ATH
2 - 0
RSO
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
UDL
2 - 2
ATH
51%
26%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
ATH
0 - 0
BET
63%
22%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
HER
2 - 2
ATH
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1975 |
VCF
1 - 0
SLA
64%
22%
15%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1975 |
ELC
2 - 0
VCF
37%
28%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1975 |
VCF
0 - 0
SPO
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
ZAR
0 - 2
VCF
64%
19%
17%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
VCF
1 - 1
RMA
37%
28%
36%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |