Athletic vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
19.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
DEP
1 - 2
ATH
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
ATH
3 - 1
FCB
67%
16%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
ATH
3 - 0
ESP
78%
13%
9%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
RMA
4 - 1
ATH
59%
19%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
FCB
1 - 2
ATH
62%
18%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 1945 |
VCF
1 - 1
OVI
76%
13%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1945 |
ALC
2 - 2
VCF
29%
22%
49%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1945 |
VCF
2 - 0
DEP
85%
10%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1945 |
ESP
0 - 2
VCF
41%
23%
37%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1945 |
VCF
1 - 0
ALC
87%
9%
5%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |