Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-0
Athletic vs Torpedo Moscow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
CAS
0 - 0
ATH
44%
27%
30%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
2 - 1
RMA
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1973 |
ATH
1 - 0
ESP
58%
25%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Torpedo Moscow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
TOR
0 - 0
ATH
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
TOR
1 - 1
RAP
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1969 |
RAP
0 - 0
TOR
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1968 |
CAR
1 - 0
TOR
51%
20%
28%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1968 |
TOR
1 - 0
CAR
55%
20%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |