Athletic vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
3.22
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.6%
6.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
RMA
0 - 0
ATH
75%
14%
11%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
ATH
4 - 1
ESP
78%
14%
9%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
ATH
3 - 0
UDL
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
SEV
3 - 2
ATH
37%
24%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
ATH
3 - 0
GRA
85%
10%
5%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
SPO
0 - 4
SEV
39%
23%
38%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1958 |
GRA
6 - 0
SPO
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1958 |
SPO
1 - 0
RSO
52%
24%
24%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1958 |
VCF
2 - 0
SPO
72%
15%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1958 |
SPO
0 - 3
OVI
59%
20%
21%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |