Athletic vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
SEV
4 - 2
ATH
56%
20%
24%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
ATH
7 - 1
CAS
79%
12%
9%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
CEL
1 - 2
ATH
45%
22%
33%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
ATH
6 - 0
HER
82%
11%
7%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
FCB
0 - 6
ATH
63%
18%
19%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 1945 |
SPO
3 - 2
ATM
45%
24%
32%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1945 |
ALC
4 - 1
SPO
42%
22%
37%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 1
ESP
53%
21%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 1945 |
SPO
1 - 1
RMA
42%
23%
34%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1945 |
SEV
3 - 2
SPO
73%
15%
12%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |