Athletic vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.6%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.1%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.3%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
10.3%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
10.3%
7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
MUR
2 - 2
ATH
39%
23%
39%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1945 |
ATH
8 - 2
CUL
88%
8%
4%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
ATH
4 - 1
SAB
81%
11%
8%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
CAS
1 - 0
ATH
41%
23%
36%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1944 |
CUL
1 - 3
ATH
29%
22%
49%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1945 |
SPO
4 - 2
VCF
33%
23%
44%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1945 |
DEP
2 - 2
SPO
54%
21%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1945 |
SPO
0 - 1
ESP
46%
22%
32%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 1944 |
SPO
0 - 1
RMA
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1944 |
OVI
2 - 1
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |