Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 7-2
Athletic vs Sevilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
4.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.5%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
2.8%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.4%
6-0
4.7%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.8%
5-0
6.8%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
12.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.7%
6.2%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.2%
3.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
22%
21%
58%
|
89 | 63 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
ATH
5 - 1
ARE
86%
9%
6%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
ARE
2 - 2
ATH
32%
21%
46%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
RMA
0 - 1
ATH
47%
22%
31%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
ATH
8 - 2
VCF
82%
11%
8%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 2
ATH
22%
21%
58%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1933 |
OVI
3 - 3
SEV
73%
15%
13%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1933 |
SEV
4 - 1
OVI
41%
22%
36%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 1933 |
SEV
1 - 1
DEP
53%
23%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1933 |
OSA
4 - 0
SEV
63%
19%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |