Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 7-3
Athletic vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
4.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
OVI
0 - 1
ATH
33%
26%
42%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
70%
17%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
CDT
1 - 1
ATH
27%
25%
49%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ATH
3 - 2
FCB
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1962 |
CEL
0 - 0
SAB
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1962 |
CUL
0 - 0
SAB
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
SAB
1 - 0
BAS
63%
20%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
SLA
2 - 1
SAB
52%
22%
26%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
SAB
2 - 1
PUL
58%
22%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |