Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 5-3
Athletic vs CE Sabadell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.4%
Win probability
3.83
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.4%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
+5
10.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
7.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.4%
4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
ATH
1 - 2
RUN
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1931 |
ESP
0 - 4
ATH
42%
23%
36%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
ATH
2 - 4
RMA
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
ARE
3 - 2
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
ATH
4 - 1
EUR
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CE Sabadell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
SAB
3 - 2
ALA
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
ALA
2 - 2
SAB
73%
16%
12%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1931 |
SAB
3 - 1
JUP
82%
11%
7%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1931 |
BAD
4 - 0
SAB
28%
23%
49%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 1931 |
SAB
2 - 1
LEV
82%
11%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |