Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-0
Athletic vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
ATH
3 - 0
CCF
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATH
64%
20%
16%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
ATH
4 - 0
DEP
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
FCB
3 - 1
ATH
76%
15%
9%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
ATH
3 - 0
UDL
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1967 |
REC
0 - 0
CON
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1967 |
BET
2 - 0
REC
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1967 |
REC
2 - 0
VAL
48%
26%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1967 |
MUR
1 - 0
REC
62%
22%
15%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
REC
2 - 0
CDC
59%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |