Athletic vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATH
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
ATH
4 - 1
ALM
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FCB
4 - 1
ATH
85%
11%
4%
|
85 | 95 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
ATH
4 - 3
RAC
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2010 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
66%
20%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ZAR
1 - 1
MLL
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
OSA
2 - 0
ZAR
41%
27%
33%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ZAR
2 - 0
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
ZAR
3 - 0
VCF
32%
25%
42%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2010 |
ALM
1 - 0
ZAR
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |