Athletic vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
RMA
3 - 0
ATH
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
CDT
1 - 1
ATH
27%
25%
49%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ATH
3 - 2
FCB
44%
23%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
RSO
0 - 2
ATH
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ATH
5 - 1
SEV
61%
19%
20%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1962 |
ZAR
3 - 2
FCB
37%
23%
41%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1962 |
RSO
1 - 0
ZAR
40%
24%
35%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ZAR
3 - 2
SEV
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1962 |
RAC
2 - 1
ZAR
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1961 |
ZAR
1 - 1
ELC
74%
14%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |