Athletic vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.6%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.7%
5.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
BET
4 - 0
ATH
22%
22%
55%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
ATH
3 - 1
OSA
82%
12%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
CEL
0 - 3
ATH
32%
23%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1958 |
ATH
2 - 0
RMA
61%
19%
20%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1958 |
FCB
4 - 3
ATH
74%
14%
12%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
ZAR
4 - 2
SEV
37%
23%
41%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1958 |
GRA
4 - 1
ZAR
49%
24%
28%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1958 |
ZAR
1 - 0
RSO
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1958 |
FCB
8 - 0
ZAR
92%
6%
2%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1958 |
ZAR
3 - 4
FCB
22%
22%
57%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | 0 |