Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 3-4
Athletic vs Real Zaragoza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
4.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.6%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.1%
7-0
2.7%
8-1
1.3%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
4.2%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.4%
8-2
0.6%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
4.1%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.9%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.9%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12%
6.5%
Draw
0-0
0.6%
1-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.5%
3.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
ATH
4 - 1
RSO
79%
12%
9%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
VAD
2 - 2
ATH
37%
23%
41%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
ATH
2 - 0
VCF
69%
15%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
ATM
1 - 2
ATH
69%
15%
15%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
ATH
4 - 1
DEP
83%
10%
7%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1952 |
UDL
4 - 2
ZAR
53%
21%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1952 |
ZAR
3 - 0
SEV
38%
24%
38%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1952 |
RAC
2 - 2
ZAR
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
ZAR
3 - 2
CEL
47%
21%
32%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
RMA
2 - 1
ZAR
85%
9%
6%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |