Athletic vs Real Zaragoza CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.2%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.2%
5.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
ATH
4 - 1
RAC
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
RUN
4 - 2
ATH
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATH
33%
25%
42%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
ATH
1 - 3
RUN
79%
13%
8%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1924 |
RMA
1 - 0
ATH
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Zaragoza CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
FCB
3 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
48 | 84 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
ZAR
5 - 1
LEV
53%
22%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1926 |
ZAR
0 - 7
FCB
18%
21%
61%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1926 |
LEV
2 - 2
ZAR
57%
21%
22%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1925 |
FCB
8 - 0
ZAR
86%
9%
5%
|
47 | 84 | 37 | 0 |