Athletic vs Real Unión Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
12%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1927 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATH
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 48 | 35 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1927 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
84%
10%
6%
|
84 | 48 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1926 |
ATH
4 - 1
RAC
75%
15%
11%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1926 |
RUN
4 - 2
ATH
31%
25%
44%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Real Unión Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 1927 |
RUN
6 - 1
ZAR
80%
12%
8%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1927 |
RUN
1 - 0
ATH
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1927 |
ZAR
1 - 2
RUN
28%
24%
49%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1926 |
FCB
2 - 1
RUN
79%
12%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1926 |
DEP
3 - 4
RUN
63%
19%
18%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |