Athletic vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
ATH
3 - 1
FCB
20%
25%
56%
|
86 | 95 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
DEP
1 - 2
ATH
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
ATH
1 - 0
ZAR
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
BET
1 - 1
ATH
45%
27%
29%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ATH
0 - 3
VCF
35%
29%
36%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 0
RSO
52%
24%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
RSO
2 - 2
CEL
46%
26%
29%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2006 |
CAD
2 - 2
RSO
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
RSO
1 - 2
SEV
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
VIL
0 - 2
RSO
55%
24%
21%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |