Athletic vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2002 |
VIL
0 - 2
ATH
43%
26%
32%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2002 |
ATH
1 - 2
CDT
68%
20%
13%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2001 |
OSA
0 - 1
ATH
34%
27%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2001 |
ATH
2 - 0
SLA
71%
19%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
ATH
1 - 1
RAY
55%
23%
22%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2002 |
UDL
0 - 0
RSO
44%
26%
30%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
RSO
6 - 0
VAD
52%
24%
23%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2001 |
RMA
3 - 1
RSO
77%
15%
9%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2001 |
RSO
0 - 0
BET
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
MAL
1 - 0
RSO
53%
23%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |