League Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
Athletic vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
13%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
ATM
3 - 1
ATH
62%
23%
15%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 1
ZAR
63%
20%
17%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1986 |
ATH
1 - 2
FCB
51%
25%
24%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1986 |
RAC
0 - 0
ATH
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1986 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATH
58%
25%
17%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1986 |
RSO
5 - 3
RMA
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1986 |
VAD
4 - 1
RSO
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1986 |
RSO
4 - 0
CAD
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1986 |
FCB
2 - 3
RSO
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |