Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Athletic vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
CFC
0 - 1
ATH
18%
22%
60%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
ATH
5 - 2
CFC
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 55 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
ATH
1 - 1
ESP
64%
23%
14%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATH
45%
26%
28%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
RSO
1 - 1
ATH
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1972 |
RSO
3 - 1
SPO
58%
20%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1972 |
SPO
0 - 0
RSO
62%
20%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1972 |
VCF
2 - 1
RSO
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1972 |
RSO
1 - 0
ATH
45%
26%
28%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |