Athletic vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.42
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 1957 |
MUD
3 - 0
ATH
62%
18%
19%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
65%
17%
18%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
UDL
4 - 0
ATH
22%
22%
56%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
ATH
2 - 0
DEP
86%
9%
5%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1957 |
ATH
5 - 3
MUD
67%
17%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
RSO
2 - 0
DEP
62%
19%
19%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
RJA
3 - 0
RSO
50%
23%
27%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
RSO
2 - 1
ATM
40%
23%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
VAD
2 - 2
RSO
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
RSO
0 - 0
OSA
67%
18%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |