Athletic vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.8%
9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ATH
22%
23%
56%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
ATH
5 - 0
RAC
85%
9%
6%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ATH
4 - 3
FCB
54%
20%
26%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
ATM
2 - 3
ATH
67%
16%
17%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
ATH
6 - 1
MAL
82%
10%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 1953 |
RSO
2 - 2
VAD
66%
18%
16%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1953 |
VCF
5 - 2
RSO
73%
15%
12%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1953 |
ESP
2 - 0
RSO
68%
17%
16%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1953 |
RSO
3 - 0
RMA
48%
21%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1952 |
SEV
4 - 1
RSO
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |