Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 2-0
Athletic vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1923 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATH
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1923 |
ATH
5 - 0
RMA
65%
18%
17%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1923 |
RMA
1 - 3
ATH
51%
22%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1921 |
ATH
4 - 1
ATM
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1921 |
ATH
3 - 0
SEV
67%
18%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 1923 |
RSO
0 - 0
ATH
42%
24%
34%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1923 |
RSO
4 - 1
RVS
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 28 | 49 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1923 |
RSO
3 - 0
RVS
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 29 | 48 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1923 |
RVS
3 - 1
RSO
17%
22%
61%
|
77 | 26 | 51 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1919 |
RSO
1 - 3
FCB
46%
23%
31%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |