Athletic vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
ATM
4 - 1
ATH
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
ATH
0 - 5
RMA
34%
25%
41%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
RAC
1 - 1
ATH
40%
28%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1996 |
ZAR
0 - 1
ATH
62%
22%
16%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
RAY
2 - 2
ATH
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 1996 |
OVI
1 - 2
RMA
27%
25%
48%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1996 |
RAY
1 - 2
OVI
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1996 |
OVI
1 - 1
ZAR
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1996 |
OVI
0 - 0
MER
59%
23%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1996 |
VAD
2 - 2
OVI
36%
28%
36%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |