Athletic vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
VAD
2 - 1
ATH
42%
24%
34%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
ATH
2 - 1
ELC
75%
14%
11%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
MAL
2 - 0
ATH
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ATH
2 - 3
FCB
40%
23%
36%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
VCF
1 - 0
ATH
58%
21%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1962 |
OVI
2 - 0
MLL
55%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1962 |
OSA
2 - 3
OVI
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1962 |
OVI
2 - 0
CCF
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1962 |
ZAR
5 - 0
OVI
79%
12%
8%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1962 |
OVI
2 - 0
CDT
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |