Athletic vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.6%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.7%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.1%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
ATM
0 - 1
ATH
57%
20%
24%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
ATH
1 - 2
FCB
49%
22%
30%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
ZAR
2 - 0
ATH
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
ATH
7 - 0
BET
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
OSA
1 - 8
ATH
34%
23%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
OVI
1 - 0
SEV
39%
23%
38%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
GRA
1 - 1
OVI
50%
23%
28%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
OVI
1 - 1
RSO
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
VCF
1 - 2
OVI
72%
15%
12%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
UDL
2 - 1
OVI
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |